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P&L Forecast (3 Years)

Founder: French, 37 years old, EDHEC BBA (Finance & Marketing), experience in product management, tech, and entrepreneurship (WEBDOM.FR, Lyfar Studio). Trilingual FR/EN/RU.

Project: Establishing an EIRL as an electrician specializing in IRVE (EV charging stations) and high-end home automation on the Côte d’Azur.

Market: 22% EV adoption in Alpes-Maritimes, 15,000 luxury villas, strong smart home demand (+22%/yr).

Investment: €38,500 (personal contribution €20K + honor loan €10K + microcredit €8.5K)


ItemAmount
Utility vehicle (used)€15,000
Tools and measuring equipment€8,000
Initial inventory (cables, panels, fixtures)€5,000
Year 1 insurance (décennale + professional liability)€3,500
Setup costs (CMA, accountant, legal)€2,000
Working capital / cash reserve€5,000
Total requirements€38,500
SourceAmountNotes
Personal contribution€20,000Savings
Honor loan (Initiative France / Réseau Entreprendre)€10,0000% interest, no collateral
ADIE microcredit€8,500~8%, mentoring included
Total sources€38,500

ItemAmount
REVENUE€120,000
↳ Electrical installations€45,000
↳ IRVE (EV chargers)€45,000
↳ Home automation€30,000
EXPENSES
Materials and supplies (30%)-€36,000
Subcontracting-€5,000
Fuel and vehicle maintenance-€4,800
Insurance (décennale + professional liability + vehicle)-€4,500
Phone, internet, software-€1,800
Accountant-€3,000
Marketing (website, Google Ads, cards)-€3,000
Continuing education (IRVE renewal, KNX)-€2,000
Depreciation-€5,000
Finance charges-€1,000
Social contributions (after ACRE)-€8,000
CFE + taxes-€1,500
Total expenses-€75,600
Pre-tax profit€44,400
Income tax (progressive scale, 3-share household quotient)-€4,200
Net profit€40,200
ItemYear 2
Revenue€180,000
↳ IRVE€60,000
↳ Home automation€70,000
↳ General electrical€50,000
Total expenses-€115,000
Social contributions (full rate)-€22,000
Pre-tax profit€65,000
Net profit€56,000

Year 3 — Maturity (+ 1 potential employee)

Section titled “Year 3 — Maturity (+ 1 potential employee)”
ItemYear 3
Revenue€250,000
↳ IRVE€70,000
↳ Home automation€100,000
↳ Electrical + maintenance€80,000
Total expenses (incl. employee salary)-€165,000
Pre-tax profit€85,000
Net profit€72,000

Q1Q2Q3Q4
Cash in€15,000€30,000€35,000€40,000
Sales€15,000€30,000€35,000€40,000
Cash out€25,000€17,000€18,000€19,000
Material purchases€8,000€9,000€9,500€9,500
External charges€5,000€3,000€3,000€3,000
Social contributions€0€2,000€2,500€3,500
Loan repayment€750€750€750€750
Other charges€11,250€2,250€2,250€2,250
Quarterly balance-€10,000+€13,000+€17,000+€21,000
Cumulative balance-€10,000+€3,000+€20,000+€41,000

Average inventory (15 days of revenue) €5,000
+ Accounts receivable (30 days) €10,000
- Accounts payable (30 days) -€3,000
──────────
WCR = €12,000

The WCR is moderate because:

  • Individual clients often pay on delivery or within 15 days
  • Low inventory (order on demand, no overstocking)
  • Supplier accounts (Rexel, Sonepar) offer 30-day terms

Annual fixed costs: €47,000
- Insurance: €4,500
- Vehicle: €4,800
- Accountant: €3,000
- Marketing: €3,000
- Depreciation: €5,000
- Min. contributions: €8,000
- Other fixed: €18,700
Contribution margin ratio: 65%
Break-even = €47,000 / 0.65 = €72,308 / year
i.e. €6,026 / month
i.e. ~24 basic installations / year
i.e. 2 installations / month

CriterionAuto-EntrepreneurEIRL
Revenue cap€188,700Unlimited
Expense deductions❌ No✅ Yes
VAT recovery❌ No✅ Yes
Asset protection❌ No✅ Yes
Décennale insuranceComplexStandard
B2B credibilityLowHigh

With projected revenue of €120K+ and significant investments (vehicle, equipment), the EIRL allows deduction of actual expenses and VAT recovery on purchases (~€7,000/yr savings on material purchases alone).

  • Years 1-2: IR (income tax) — 3-share household quotient (couple + disabled child = additional half-share)
  • Year 3+: Evaluate switching to IS if profit exceeds €42,500

SourceAmount/monthNotes
RSA for couple + 1 child€1,191Non-taxable
AEEH base + supplement (80%)€530Non-taxable, not deducted from RSA
APL (housing aid)€300-400Depends on rent
Minimum total€2,021-2,121

With shared housing/social housing at €800/month → ~€1,200/month left to live on during training.

ProgramGross CostFunding
TP Électricien (AFPA, 8 months)€12,000-15,000CPF + France Travail
BR/BC certifications€1,200CPF
IRVE P1+P2€1,200CPF
KNX Basic€1,500Région PACA
Total~€16,000~€0 out of pocket